Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 15.365738 17.382149 19.636600 22.357746 25.571376 29.268188 33.874947
2025-09-21 12.051016 14.468436 17.385766 21.209824 26.156411 32.432102 41.149114
2025-09-28 10.303823 12.864716 16.116749 20.627914 26.851530 35.333583 48.128818
2025-10-05 10.198196 13.229773 17.278522 23.226260 31.999244 44.906539 66.238688
2025-10-12 9.565032 12.774743 17.230543 24.077108 34.732382 51.429199 81.257253
2025-10-19 8.617815 11.759799 16.249125 23.385789 34.961203 54.022907 90.289522
2025-10-26 8.206980 11.457241 16.246342 24.144975 37.552376 60.896099 108.655022
2025-11-02 7.599056 10.797639 15.625122 23.822225 38.253986 64.554381 121.749467
2025-11-09 7.052160 10.178185 14.997879 23.398558 38.688790 67.755528 134.728989
2025-11-16 6.605286 9.673843 14.501048 23.126979 39.338741 71.458862 149.881373
2025-11-23 6.139777 9.102658 13.842894 22.493811 39.204802 73.524833 161.735877
2025-11-30 5.807956 8.720876 13.464008 22.314535 39.917974 77.500646 179.727741
2025-12-07 5.341434 8.101785 12.660081 21.318873 38.954356 77.826322 188.710310
2025-12-14 4.904830 7.505810 11.854419 20.246662 37.705713 77.315768 195.361848
2025-12-21 4.594173 7.100490 11.349441 19.697282 37.488818 79.218851 210.142512
2025-12-28 4.757470 7.510958 12.320889 22.146637 44.238522 100.098314 297.686559
2026-01-04 4.667392 7.472213 12.469602 22.947751 47.378384 112.467495 363.590507
2026-01-11 4.395737 7.093072 11.953230 22.296875 46.926795 114.595973 389.733445
2026-01-18 4.313812 7.049449 12.068448 23.011632 49.982635 127.970386 474.784961
2026-01-25 4.117722 6.784919 11.736761 22.707814 50.378341 133.219590 525.469288
2026-02-01 3.925421 6.516422 11.378616 22.308900 50.465080 137.522618 575.027828
2026-02-08 3.762194 6.293174 11.095158 22.053130 50.906855 143.198416 637.716797
2026-02-15 3.574525 6.014101 10.681720 21.456638 50.314970 145.107638 679.797432